Dr. Oleg V. Pavlov


Associate Professor of Economics and System Dynamics




Department of Social Science and Policy Studies
Salisbury Labs 310A
100 Institute Road
Worcester, MA 01609
T: 508-831-5234
F: 508-831-5892
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I am an associate professor of economics and system dynamics at WPI. My expertise is in multi-sector computational economic analysis that accounts for feedback and resistance to change often exhibited by complex systems. In my research I examine interests of stakeholders and take a system-wide view that combines relevant technological, psychological, social, and economic factors.

My other activities:
I am a member of the Steering Committee for the Healthcare Delivery Institute (HDI) at WPI.
As a Coleman Foundation Faculty Entrepreneurship Fellow, I am part of the university’s entrepreneurship community.
I am a member of the System Dynamics Society and a past president of its Economics Chapter.

My department offers the following degrees in economics and system dynamics:

   Bachelor of Science Degree in Economic Science
   Bachelor of Science Degree in System Dynamics
   Graduate Programs in System Dynamics (online Certificate, online M.S., Ph.D.)

Students can also minor in Economics or System Dynamics. Let me know if you have any questions about these programs.


My Expertise
   Economics, system dynamics, systems thinking, systems science



Dynastic Cycle: A Resource Allocation Theme for Addressing Dissent in Universities
Zaini, R., K. Saeed, M. Elmes, and O. Pavlov
Department of Social Science and Policy Studies Working Paper No. 2014-006, 2014.

The Design of Educational Programs in System Dynamics at Worcester Polytechnic Institute (WPI)
Pavlov, O., J.K. Doyle, K. Saeed, J.M. Lyneis, M.J. Radzicki
Systems. v. 2 (1), 2014: 54-76.
Also available as Department of Social Science and Policy Studies Working Paper No. 2014-001, 2014.

Farmers, Bandits and Soldiers: A Generic System for Addressing Peace Agendas
Saeed, K., O. Pavlov, J. Skorinko, and A. Smith
System Dynamics Review. v. 29 (4), 2013: 237–252

Asset Price Dynamics with Heterogeneous Beliefs and Local Network Interactions
Panchenko, V., S. Gerasymchuk, and O. Pavlov
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
v. 37 (12), 2013: 2623–2642

Adapting Agile Strategies to Healthcare Service Delivery
Rust,T., K. Saeed, I. Bar-On, O. Pavlov
In the Proceedings of the 31st International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Cambridge, MA. July, 2013

Strategies for University Growth: A System Dynamics Analysis of Organizational Change
Zaini, R., M. Radzicki, K. Saeed, O. Pavlov, A. Hoffman, K. Tichenor
In the Proceedings of the 31st International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Cambridge, MA. July, 2013.

A Caribbean Remedy for Financially Sick N.Y. Hospitals & the Primary Care Shortage
Pavlov, O. and V. Gotlieb
MedCity News, March 6, 2013

Re-Designing Policy and Process in Health Care Service Delivery: A System Dynamics Case Study
Rust, T., K. Saeed, I. Bar-On, and O. Pavlov
In the Proceedings of the 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. St. Gallen, Switzerland. July, 2012.

Customer Resources and Economic Sustainability of Online Channels
Pavlov, O.

In The Handbook of Corporate Sustainability: Frameworks, Strategies and Tools by M. A. Quaddus and M. A. B. Siddique (Eds), Publisher: Edward Elgar, 2011

Why Virtual Job Recruiting Is Not Well Accepted by Generation Y?—A Case Study on Second Life
Loiacono, E., S. Djamasbi, B. Tulu, and O. Pavlov
Human-Computer Interaction, Users and Applications, Lecture Notes in Computer Science. v. 6764, 2011: 245-254

The Impact of Universal Service Obligations and International Cross-Subsidies on the Dispersion of Telephone Services in Developing Countries
Ramos, B., K. Saeed, and O. Pavlov
Socio-Economic Planning Sciences. v. 44 (2), 2009: 57-72

Toward an Information-Compatible Anti-Spam Strategy
Plice, R., N. Melville and O. Pavlov
Communications of Association for Computing Machinery.
v. 52(5), 2009: 128-130

Economic Origins of the Mafia and Patronage System in Sicily
Sardell, J., O. Pavlov and K. Saeed
In the Proceedings of the 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Albuquerque, New Mexico. July 26-29, 2009.

Modeling the Cycles of Gang and Criminal Behavior: Understanding the Social and Economic Influence
Skarin, B., K. Saeed, J. Skorinko, O. Pavlov
In the Proceedings of the 27th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Albuquerque, New Mexico. July 26-29, 2009.

A Communication Model with Limited Information-Processing Capacity of Recipients
Pavlov, O., R. Plice and N. Melville
System Dynamics Review. v. 24 (3), 2008: 377-405

Toward a Sustainable Email Marketing Infrastructure
Pavlov, O., N. Melville, and R. Plice
Journal of Business Research.
v. 61 (11), 2008: 1191-1199

Spam and Beyond: An Information-Economic Analysis of Unwanted Commercial Messages
Plice, R., O. Pavlov and N. Melville
Journal of Organizational Computing and Electronic Commerce. v. 18 (4), 2008: 1-29.

Dynastic Cycle: A Generic Structure Describing Resource Allocation in Political Economies, Markets and Firms
Saeed, K. and O. Pavlov
Journal of the Operational Research Society. v.59, 2008: 1289-1298

Review of Evolution and Economic Complexity, edited by J. Stanley Metcalfe and John Foster. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar. 2004
Pavlov, O.
Journal of Economic Issues. 2006. v. 40 (3)

Unsolicited Commercial E-mail: Empirical Analysis of a Digital Commons
Melville, N., A. Stevens, R. Plice and O.V. Pavlov
International Journal of Electronic Commerce. 2006. v.10 (4): 143-168.

The Circular and Cumulative Structure of Administered Pricing
Nichols, M.W., O.V. Pavlov and M.J. Radzicki.

Journal of Economics Issues. 2006. v. 40 (2): 517-526.

Dynamic Analysis of an Institutional Conflict: Copyright Owners Against Online File Sharing
Pavlov, O.
Journal of Economic Issues. 2005. v.39 (3): 633-663

Mitigating the Tragedy of the Digital Commons: The Problem of Unsolicited Commercial E-Mail
Pavlov, O., N. Melville, R. Plice
of the Association for Information Systems. 2005. v.16: 73-90

Stability in a superpower-dominated global economic system
Pavlov, O., M. Radzicki and K. Saeed
Journal of Economic Issues
2005. v.39 (2): 491-501

A Resource-Based Analysis of Peer-to-Peer Technology
Pavlov, O. and K. Saeed
System Dynamics Review.
2004. v.20 (3): 237-262

Computing Economic Chaos
Day, R.H. and O.V. Pavlov
Computational Economics.
2004. v.23 (4): 289-301

Do Economies Diverge? Economic Development in the Very Long Run
Day, R.H. and O.V. Pavlov
In The Divergent Dynamics of Economic Growth by Richard H. Day, Publisher: Cambridge University Press, 2004, pp. 178-202

A Resource-Based Assessment of the Gnutella File-Sharing Network
Pavlov, O. and K. Saeed
ICIS 2003 Proceedings.

Application Customization, Profit Zones, and the Design of a Delivery Network for Mobile Commerce Services
Pavlov, O.V. and P.R. Balasubramanian
Boston University School of Management Working Paper #2002-04. 2002

Richard Goodwin's Keynesian Cobweb: Theme and Variations
Day, R.H. and O.V. Pavlov
Journal of Macroeconomics. 2002. v.24 (1): 1-15

Qualitative Dynamics and Macroeconomic Evolution in the Very Long Run
Day, R.H. and O.V. Pavlov
In Cycles, Growth and Structural Change by Lionello F. Punzo (ed.), Publisher: Routledge, July 2001, 288 pp.

Contributor to Complex Economic Dynamics, Volume 2 by Richard H. Day, MIT Press, March 2000, 480 pp.

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Teaching Experience
    System Dynamics Foundations: Managing Complexity (graduate online course)
    Introduction to System Dynamics Modeling
    Leadership, Ethics and Social Entrepreneurship
    Information Economics and Policy
    Principles of Microeconomics
    Intermediate Microeconomics
    Principles of Macroeconomics
    Money and Banking
    Mathematical Economics
    Management of Information Systems


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    M.B.A. Cornell University. Johnson Graduate School of Management. 2011
    Ph.D. in Economics. University of Southern California. 2000
    M.A. in Economics. University of Southern California. 1997
    B.S. in Physics and Computer Science. University of Southern California. 1994


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Last modified: June 12, 2014