Dr. Oleg V. Pavlov

                    Associate Professor of Economics and System Dynamics

Phone: Fax: Email: Address:

508-831-5234 508-831-5892 100 Institute Road Worcester, MA 01609 Research Areas Publications Selected Presentations Supervised Undergraduate Student Projects Teaching Education Academic Positions Professional Service

 

Research Areas

Computer modeling and simulation of complex economic systems, system dynamics, e-commerce, cyber-infrastructure, models of risk perception, political economy, dynamics of financial markets

 

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Publications

Toward an Information-Compatible Anti-Spam Strategy
Plice, R., N. Melville and O. Pavlov
Communications of Association for Computing Machinery. 2009 (in press)

A Communication Model with Limited Information-Processing Capacity of Recipients
Pavlov, O., R. Plice and N. Melville
System Dynamics Review. v. 24 (3), 2008: 377-405.

Toward a Sustainable Email Marketing Infrastructure
Pavlov, O., N. Melville, and R. Plice
Journal of Business Research. v. 61 (11), 2008: 1191-1199.

Spam and Beyond: An Information-Economic Analysis of Unwanted Commercial Messages
Plice, R., O. Pavlov and N. Melville
Journal of Organizational Computing and Electronic Commerce. v. 18 (4), 2008: 1-29. Download paper.

Dynastic Cycle: A Generic Structure Describing Resource Allocation in Political Economies, Markets and Firms
Saeed, K. and O. Pavlov
Journal of the Operational Research Society. v.59, 2008: 1289-1298.

Asset Price Dynamics with Small World Interactions under Heterogeneous Beliefs
Panchenko, V., S. Gerasymchuk, and O. Pavlov
Working Paper 149, Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Venice. 2007. Download paper.

Review of Evolution and Economic Complexity, edited by J. Stanley Metcalfe and John Foster. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar. 2004.
Pavlov, O.
Journal of Economic Issues. 2006. v. 40 (3).

Unsolicited Commercial E-mail: Empirical Analysis of a Digital Commons
Melville, N., A. Stevens, R. Plice and O.V. Pavlov
International Journal of Electronic Commerce. 2006. v.10 (4): 143-168. Download paper.

The Circular and Cumulative Structure of Administered Pricing
Nichols, M.W., O.V. Pavlov and M.J. Radzicki.
Journal of Economics Issues. 2006. v. 40 (2): 517-526. Download paper.

Dynamic Analysis of an Institutional Conflict: Copyright Owners Against Online File Sharing
Pavlov, O.
Journal of Economic Issues. 2005. v.39 (3): 633-663

Mitigating the Tragedy of the Digital Commons: The Problem of Unsolicited Commercial E-Mail
Pavlov, O., N. Melville, R. Plice
Communications of the Association for Information Systems. 2005. v.16: 73-90

Stability in a superpower-dominated global economic system
Pavlov, O., M. Radzicki and K. Saeed
Journal of Economic Issues. 2005. v.39 (2): 491-501

A Resource-Based Analysis of Peer-to-Peer Technology
Pavlov, O. and K. Saeed
System Dynamics Review. 2004. v.20 (3): 237-262

Computing Economic Chaos
Day, R.H. and O.V. Pavlov
Computational Economics. 2004. v.23 (4): 289-301

Do Economies Diverge? Economic Development in the Very Long Run
Day, R.H. and O.V. Pavlov
In The Divergent Dynamics of Economic Growth by Richard H. Day, Publisher: Cambridge University Press, 2004, pp. 178-202

Application Customization, Profit Zones, and the Design of a Delivery Network for Mobile Commerce Services
Pavlov, O.V. and P.R. Balasubramanian
Boston University School of Management Working Paper #2002-04. 2002.

Richard Goodwin's Keynesian Cobweb: Theme and Variations
Day, R.H. and O.V. Pavlov
Journal of Macroeconomics. 2002. v.24 (1): 1-15

Qualitative Dynamics and Macroeconomic Evolution in the Very Long Run
Day, R.H. and O.V. Pavlov
In Cycles, Growth and Structural Change by Lionello F. Punzo (ed.), Publisher: Routledge, July 2001, 288 pp.

Contributor to Complex Economic Dynamics, Volume 2 by Richard H. Day, MIT Press, March 2000, 480 pp.
 

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Selected Presentations

“Public Response to Terrorism: Connecting Links between Perceived Risk and Economic Impacts.” Burns, W. (speaker) and O. Pavlov (speaker). Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis. Boston, MA. December 7-10, 2008.

“Feedback analysis of speculation in a foreign currency market.” Dwenger, N. and O. Pavlov (speaker). 26th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Athens, Greece. July 21 - 24, 2008.

“Do Trend Traders Tame Chaos? Feedback Provides Stability.” Dwenger, N. (speaker) and O. Pavlov (speaker). 34th Annual Conference of the Eastern Economic Association. Boston, MA. March 7-9, 2008.

“Asset price dynamics with small world interactions under heterogeneous beliefs.” Panchenko, V. (speaker), S. Gerasymchuk, and O. Pavlov. 36th Australian Conference of Economists. 2007.

“On Feedback Effects in Information Markets.” Department of Economics. Clark University. Worcester, MA. November 6, 2007.

“A Communication Model with Limited Information-Processing Capacity of Recipients.” 25th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Boston, MA. July 29- August 2, 2007.

“A Communication Model with Limited Information-Processing Capacity of Recipients.” With N. Melville and R. Plice. 13th International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance. Montreal, Canada. June 14-16, 2007.

“Dynastic cycle: A generic structure describing resource allocation in political economies, markets and firms.” With Khalid Saeed. Annual Meeting of the Association for Evolutionary Thought. Phoenix, AZ. April 19-21, 2006.

"Stability in a Superpower-Dominated Global Economic System." With Michael Radzicki and Khalid Saeed. 23rd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Boston, MA. July 17-21, 2005.

"Unsolicited Commercial Email: An Attention Resource Perspective." With Nigel Melville and Robert K. Plice. 23rd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. Boston, MA. July 17-21, 2005.

“Mitigating the Tragedy of the Digital Commons: the Case of Unsolicited Commercial Email.” With Nigel Melville and Robert K. Plice. 11th International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance. Washington, DC. June 23-25, 2005.

“Dynamic analysis of an institutional conflict within the music industry.” 11th International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance. Washington, DC. June 23-25, 2005.

 “SPAM talk.” Worcester Polytechnic Institute. A talk sponsored by the WPI System Dynamics Club. February 16, 2005.

“Stability in a superpower-dominated global economic system.” With Michael Radzicki and Khalid Saeed. The Allied Social Science Associations Conference. Philadelphia, PA. January 7-9, 2005.

 “Solving the SPAM Problem: An Information-Economics Approach.” With Robert Plice and Nigel Melville. The Center for Research on Information Technology and Organizations (CRITO) at Univeristy of California, Irvine. August 12, 2004.

 “A Dynamic Analysis of an Institutional Conflict Induced by Online Music Swapping.” International System Dynamics Conference. Oxford, U.K., July 25-29, 2004.

 Invited talk at the Ph.D. Colloquium. International System Dynamics Conference. Oxford, U.K., July 25-29, 2004.

“Managing the Online Commons: Tragedy Visited, Tragedy Redeemed?” With Nigel Melville. OISM Research Colloquium. Wallace E. Carroll School of Management. Boston College. May 11, 2004.

 “Analysis of an Intra-Institutional Conflict Within the Recording Industry.” Invited lecture. Sree Narayana Guru Institute of Science and Technology (SNGIST). Thekethazham, Kerala State, India. January 5, 2004.

 “A Resource-Based Assessment of the P2P Technology.” International Conference on Information Systems (ICIS 2003). Seattle, WA, December 15, 2003.

 “Growth and Development in a Virtual World of P2P.” Conference on Economic Behavior and Organization. Sponsored by the USC Center in Law, Economics and Organization, the JEBO, the USC Center for the Study of Law and Politics, and the USC Letters Arts and Sciences. April 26-27, 2003. University of Southern California Law School. Los Angeles, USA.

 “On Quality-of-Service and Economics of the Next Generation Wireless Data Services.” Workshop on e-Business: Mobile Commerce. December 14-15, 2002. Barcelona, Spain.

 “Application Customization, Profit Zones, and the Design of a Delivery Network for Mobile Commerce Services” University of Hawaii at Manoa. College of Business Administration. Information Technology Management Department. 2/2002

 “Application Customization, Profit Zones, and the Design of a Delivery Network for Mobile Commerce Services” Boston University School of Management. Information Systems Department. 11/2001.

“Demoeconomic Dynamics: Evidence from Historic Europe.” Univ. of California, Irvine. Health Priorities Research Group, School of Social Ecology. 4/2000.

 “Demoeconomic Dynamics: Evidence from Historic Europe.” System Dynamics Winter Camp 2000, Univ. of Texas, Austin. 1/2000

 "Qualitative Dynamics and Macroeconomic Evolution." The 2^nd Annual Interdisciplinary Conference, Univ. of Southern California. 4/1999.

 "Is Chaos Computable?" Workshop on Out-of-equilibrium Adaptive Economic Processes, Univ. of Rome "La Sapienza," Italy. 1998    

 

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Supervised Undergraduate Student Projects (IQPs, MQPs, and ISPs)

Political Economy
"Economic Origins of the Mafia and Patronage System in Sicily"
"The Nonlinear Dynamics of the Maritime Piracy"

Transportation
"Trends in Airline Transportation"
"Feasibility and Economic Aspects of Vactrains"
"Fire Hazards Associated with Vacuum" Co-advisors: Ali Rangwala and Brian Meacham
"Autonomous Cars and Society"
"Review of the International Space Market"  Co-advisor: John Wilkes

Electronic Marketplace
"Mathematical analysis of a P2P model"  Co-advisor: William Farr
"Why Share on Peer-to-Peer?" Co-advisor: James Doyle

Telecommunications
"Telecom Economics Modeling”
"Economic analysis of U.S. cellular industry”
 

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Teaching 

Introduction to System Dynamics Modeling

System Dynamics Foundations: Managing Complexity

Information Economics and Policy

Principles of Microeconomics

Intermediate Microeconomics

Principles of Macroeconomics

Money and Banking

Mathematical Economics

Management of Information Systems

Telecommunications

 

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Education

Postdoctoral Fellow. Boston University School of Management. Information Systems Department. 2000-2002

Ph.D. in Economics. University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA. 2000. Dissertation advisor: Richard H. Day

M.A. in Economics. University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA. 1996.

B.S. in Physics and Computer Science. University of Southern California. 1994

 

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Academic Positions

 Associate Professor of Economics and System Dynamics. Worcester Polytechnic Institute. 3/2008 - present

Assistant Professor of Economics and System Dynamics. Worcester Polytechnic Institute. 7/2002 - 2/2008.

Postdoctoral Fellow. Boston University School of Management. Information Systems Department. 7/2000-7/2002.

 Research Assistant. USC Wrigley Institute for Environmental Studies, Los Angeles, CA. 6/1999-5/2000.

 Research Assistant. University of Southern California, Department of Economics. Research Assistant to Professor Richard H. Day. 9/1997-5/1999.

           

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Professional Service

Reviewer
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization; Journal of Economic Issues; Information Systems Research; The Information Society; International Journal of Electronic Commerce; Journal of Organizational Computing and Electronic Commerce; System Dynamics Review; Planning and Markets; Management Research News; International System Dynamics Conferences; Chaos; Imperial College Press; Routledge; National Technology Agency of Finland; Science Foundation Ireland, National Science Foundation, etc.

INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM DYNAMICS SOCIETY
Member since 1999
Founding member of the Russian Chapter, 2005 – present
Founding member of the Special Interest Group on Information Systems (iSIG), 2005 – present
Economics Chapter of the International System Dynamics Society
    Immediate Past-President, July 2007 – June 2008
    President, July 2006 - July 2007
    President-elect, July 2005 - June 2006
    Secretary, 2004 - 2005
    Webmaster, 1/2004 – July 2007

Thread co-chair
Economics thread at the International System Dynamics Conference. Athens, Greece. July, 2008
Economics thread at the International System Dynamics Conference. Boston, MA. July, 2007
System dynamics thread at ICAPE, Salt Lake City, Utah. April, 2007
Economics thread of the International System Dynamics Conference. Nijmegen, Norway. July, 2006.
System dynamics thread during the Annual Meeting of the Association for Evolutionary Thought. Phoenix, AZ. April, '06.
Economics thread of the International System Dynamics Conference. Boston, MA. July 17-21, 2005.

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Last modified: March 27, 2009